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Decision lab

How much does a short storage window improve completion before a deadline?

A short memory window lets one heralded link wait for the other. The gain in completion probability depends on both link probabilities, the hold time and the deadline.

Source research checked . Teaching calculations are ideal models.

Two probabilistic links rarely succeed on the same attempt when each has a small heralding probability. Memory can preserve the first success while the second link keeps trying. But an unlimited-memory formula can hide the central engineering constraint: a state may cease to be useful before its partner arrives.

The discrete model tracks whether the request is empty, holds an A herald or holds a B herald, and how many partner-attempt slots remain before expiry. Completion is absorbing. Every time step transfers probability among these states, so the complete deadline probability can be calculated without sampling noise. The accompanying trace checks that completed and unfinished probability still sum to one.

A hard cutoff is deliberately simpler than physical decoherence. The stored state is granted full eligibility until its final valid slot and none afterward. This lets the reader isolate timing and compare no memory, a finite window and memory that lasts to the deadline. A physical networking article would additionally need storage efficiencies, state-quality measurements, swapping success, classical latency and a task-specific definition of usefulness.

Synthetic decision model

Start with the assumptions

  • Link attempts are independent with stationary probabilities.
  • Only the missing link is attempted while one herald is held.
  • A stored herald remains valid for the declared number of additional slots.

Empty-state simultaneous completion probability per slot = p_A p_B

A-held completion probability per partner attempt = p_B

Deadline probability follows exact finite-state probability propagation

Expected capped completion time = sum_{t=0}^{H-1} P(not complete after t slots)

Synthetic a finite memory changes whether two quantum links meet plot: Cumulative completion probability versus Elapsed slots.
Synthetic baseline case. Horizontal axis: Elapsed slots. Vertical axis: Cumulative completion probability. Curves show No memory, Finite memory, Horizon-long memory. These are computed teaching examples, not measured hardware results.

Compare the input regimes

Each case uses invented inputs. The results follow from this model and do not describe measured hardware.

Baseline regime
Complete inputs
Link A success per slot
0.08
Link B success per slot
0.05
Additional slots a stored herald remains valid
1
Deadline slots
15
  1. Start empty. Each slot gives independent probabilities 0.08 and 0.05 for the two links. Simultaneous success ends the request.
  2. A lone success is held for 1 additional partner-attempt slots. On an unsuccessful final slot it expires; the next slot begins empty. The original link is not re-attempted while its herald is held.
  3. Propagate the exact state probabilities through 15 slots. Completed plus unfinished probability remains one after every update. The completion probability is 0.138833.
Baseline regime · synthetic calculated results
Calculated quantitySynthetic result
Completion by deadline with finite memory0.138833273734
Completion by deadline without memory0.0583487736147
Completion with memory lasting to deadline0.383050442293
Expected slots used, capped at deadline14.0406934552
Extra completion probability from finite memory0.0804845001194

Finite memory raises deadline completion from 5.834877% to 13.883327%. The hard lifetime cutoff grants perfect usefulness before expiry and none after. It is not a physical fidelity-decay law. Storage write/read loss, swapping, classical latency and quantum-state verification are excluded.

Comparison regime
Complete inputs
Link A success per slot
0.13
Link B success per slot
0.08
Additional slots a stored herald remains valid
6
Deadline slots
30
  1. Start empty. Each slot gives independent probabilities 0.13 and 0.08 for the two links. Simultaneous success ends the request.
  2. A lone success is held for 6 additional partner-attempt slots. On an unsuccessful final slot it expires; the next slot begins empty. The original link is not re-attempted while its herald is held.
  3. Propagate the exact state probabilities through 30 slots. Completed plus unfinished probability remains one after every update. The completion probability is 0.803002.
Comparison regime · synthetic calculated results
Calculated quantitySynthetic result
Completion by deadline with finite memory0.803001846054
Completion by deadline without memory0.269213360829
Completion with memory lasting to deadline0.90395919036
Expected slots used, capped at deadline15.9543143856
Extra completion probability from finite memory0.533788485224

Finite memory raises deadline completion from 26.921336% to 80.300185%. The hard lifetime cutoff grants perfect usefulness before expiry and none after. It is not a physical fidelity-decay law. Storage write/read loss, swapping, classical latency and quantum-state verification are excluded.

Extended regime
Complete inputs
Link A success per slot
0.19
Link B success per slot
0.116
Additional slots a stored herald remains valid
12
Deadline slots
48
  1. Start empty. Each slot gives independent probabilities 0.19 and 0.116 for the two links. Simultaneous success ends the request.
  2. A lone success is held for 12 additional partner-attempt slots. On an unsuccessful final slot it expires; the next slot begins empty. The original link is not re-attempted while its herald is held.
  3. Propagate the exact state probabilities through 48 slots. Completed plus unfinished probability remains one after every update. The completion probability is 0.994875.
Extended regime · synthetic calculated results
Calculated quantitySynthetic result
Completion by deadline with finite memory0.994875181106
Completion by deadline without memory0.656906563676
Completion with memory lasting to deadline0.997269894916
Expected slots used, capped at deadline10.7541220778
Extra completion probability from finite memory0.33796861743

Finite memory raises deadline completion from 65.690656% to 99.487518%. The hard lifetime cutoff grants perfect usefulness before expiry and none after. It is not a physical fidelity-decay law. Storage write/read loss, swapping, classical latency and quantum-state verification are excluded.

Try the reasoning: Compare a zero-slot memory with a memory lasting to the deadline. Where in the state update does expiry remove a stored herald?

Sources and model boundaries

  • RFC 9340: Architectural Principles for a Quantum Internet ↗

    Quantum network architecture must account for probabilistic entanglement generation, classical coordination, memory lifetime and application requirements. Informational research guidance, not an Internet Standards Track specification or a current performance survey. The synthetic link formulas are not claims made by the RFC.

Explore the broader guide: Quantum hardware architectures →